48% to 41% according to the poll released today. The result is within the margin of error.
It means, my fairly conservative friends, that if you want a Republican to win Wisconsin, you’d better plan on making the effort. I received my call from McCain headquarters on Saturday. I’m on the list. Time to consider if you’ll be doing the footwork this fall.
I have to mention something that’s bothered me – that I ran into in the blogs this weekend. There’s a push by some very conservative members to give Senator John McCain a conservative warning. They want to put bumper stickers and signs upside down as a signal to the Senator that conservatives have his support, but with conditions. That’s a fine way to lose in November, if you ask me. You guys on the far right flank – either you are in or you’re out.
Consider the consequences of losing this race because of stubbornness.
6 responses so far ↓
1 Dan Harland // Apr 28, 2008 at 4:01 pm
If you example the sample size for this poll, its not very big (N=521) and they only sampled 28 people from age 18-29! The majority of respondants (211) come from the over 60 bracket. I think my favorite comparison comes in the Obama v McCain poll where Barack carries the largest margin of victory (50% to 38% ) among who? People who never went to college. McCain wins 48% to 44% among college grads… Do what you will with the numbers.
2 Dan Harland // Apr 28, 2008 at 4:02 pm
*examine, not example
3 Shawn Matson // Apr 28, 2008 at 4:33 pm
I would think Obama would fare better among college graduates and younger voters. Those are his demographics. I’ll wait for the SUSA poll. They’re the best.
4 Anonymous // Apr 28, 2008 at 4:39 pm
I will buy the younger voter hypothesis but not so sure about the college grad thing, but keep me posted on the other poll.
5 Dan Harland // Apr 28, 2008 at 4:39 pm
That was me, not logged in.
6 Kathryn // Apr 28, 2008 at 7:10 pm
I just saw the cover of Newsweek: Obama’s Bubba Gap. They illustrate it with arugula on one side and beer on the other. (That’s a lot snobbier than anything he ever said!) If he doesn’t resonate with beer drinkers and he still carries Wisconsin, we might as well just coronate him.