Zogby: Obama slips under 50%

Zogby offers some fine news for McCain fans. McCain’s back within their margin of error for likely voters. (We’ve had fervent discussions on likely vs. registered voters before. Keep this news in perspective.) Obama is under 50%. Tomorrow’s numbers may well close the gap even more. Zogby uses +/- 2.9 for the margin of error.

Gallup shows Obama up by 10 at 52%. Again, likely voters were polled. Gallup is +/- 2.

IBD/Tipp (championing their count as the most accurate in 2004) has Obama at 47.9%; McCain at 43.4%; and 8.7% undecided. They count likely voters with a margin of error at 3.4%. (Remember – McCain’s within this margin here as well.)

I’ve glanced around at a few electoral maps, and they don’t look great for McCain. I’ve also tried to dig up a poll or two on all candidates, but haven’t had much luck. (Help! If you have something, leave it in the comments below.)


  1. Hey, Cindy. Try this…


  2. Randy in Richmond says:

    Today Obama said that ” John McCain and Sarah Palin are making a virtue out of selfishness”. Talk about the pot call…. oops, can’t say that. This on the same day it is revealed a member of his family is living in public housing illegally and is also in this country illegally. Now we are not only’not patriotic’ to want to keep our money we are also selfish to not want to give it to the government. He is getting bolder and bolder about this socialism thing.

  3. Randy in Richmond says:

    Living in a battleground state has it’s advantages. I’m probably one of the few people who have attended an Obama and Palin rally in the past days, each within 8 miles of my home. First, in the sense of fair play I am a McCain/Palin guy. Some may say I attended with a built in bias. But there were differences even Solomon would point out that offer no debate.
    Overall the Palin Rally was patriotic and about the country. The Obama Rally was about Obama. Obama definitely wants to be President and McCain definitely wants to lead the country. At the Palin Rally we sang ‘God Bless America’. The Pledge of Allegiance was recited as a local High School Color Guard presented the flags. The songs at the Obama Rally, ‘Ain’t no Stopping Us Now’, ‘Celebration’, and ‘Signed, Sealed, Delivered’. No color guard, no allegiance,no patriotic songs.
    At the Palin Rally, political signs of all shapes, sizes. At the Obama rally, no homemade signs allowed. Put another way–no dissention allowed. The Obama Rally much like a concert. The Palin rally much like a ….Rally. Obama Rally lots of young people and lots of blacks. Palin Rally lots of women, maybe 5 to 1 , almost no blacks.
    It was definitely style vs substance.

  4. If you call flag waving substance.

  5. Randy in Richmond says:

    Absolutely! That too, if there had been any.

  6. The queen of generalities wouldn’t know substance if it hit her between the eyes.

  7. Randy in Richmond says:

    You mean like giving life to one your kind choose to abort?

  8. Waukesha Mom says:

    Randy – is this a demonstration of just how charming “your kind” is?

  9. Randy in Richmond says:

    W mom
    Being charming has nothing to do with the conversation. Substance, one’s beliefs and convictions, does. Strupp says Sarah Palin does not have substance and I gave one example of where she does. The ‘your kind’ is your candidate and many of his supporters.

  10. Randy in Richmond says:

    Barack Obama has consistently criticized George Bush for his inability to find Osama Bin Laden in the mountains of Afghanistan and Pakistan. Barack Obama cannot find his own auntie Zeituni in the boroughs of Boston…