Ok, Paul Ryan is running for the Senate

All it takes is a quote like this to seal the deal:

“We didn’t see it coming,” Ryan said Friday. “Right now it’s Herb Kohl’s day, and we should thank Herb for his service.”

Utter and complete bullshit. You didn’t see it coming? A housewife from Brookfield saw it coming. Don’t screw yourself like this Paul Ryan. Play the game like a man. (Although I do agree it’s Kohl’s day, but the quote should have been left at that.)


  1. Ryan has little to gain and everything to lose by running for Senate. The only way he is not running for re-election in the House is if he is tabbed to be a candidate for VP.

  2. I disagree. Ryan has big dreams, and those won’t happen out of the House of Representatives. An open seat means he is a Senator, and for that he’ll gladly walk away from any House leadership.

    Isn’t it fun to disagree?

  3. Kanavas? Really?

  4. Civil disagreement is rather fun now that you mention it. 🙂

    Paul Ryan did this calculus 2 years ago. He decided it made sense to stay in the House rather than run for the Senate. So what’s changed in that time frame:

    -Ryan has been promoted to Chairman of the House Budget Committee
    -Ryan has used this promotion to become one of the most well-known and influential Republicans in the nation
    -A lot of buzz has surfaced about Ryan being a possible VP nominee
    -The Republican tide that everyone anticipated would be overwhelming in 2010 may have slowed a bit, plus 2012 will be a year with huge Africian American turnout in the presidential race. So 2012 a tougher year to become Senator than 2010.

    If Ryan wasn’t willing to give up his old position in the House to try to slay Feingold in what everyone knew would be a huge Republican year, why would he give up his new title and possible VP selection try for a Senate seat where his odds of winning would be worse than they would have been in 2010.

    The general rule is that you can’t go straight from the House to running for president (or VP). And that general rule is a good one that has proven to be historically reliable. But Paul Ryan is a unique case who may be an exception and he reconginizes that. He’s smart enough not to gamble his whole career on a coin-flip election, when he can go the safe route and continue to be a rising star in the party.

    Honestly, even if he wins in the Senate, without the perch of a leadership position, I think be would become less relevant than he is as Budget Chairman in an era where the budget is the most important issue. Ryan’s current position is vital today… just think of how important it becomes if we get a Republican president and Senate and instead of setting theoretical budgets, we can actually act on what Ryan comes up with.

  5. I had a wonderful response all typed out and I accidentally deleted it! So, let’s just say I bet you dinner. 🙂 I disagree with almost every point you made.

  6. BrkfldDad says:

    Okay, so Ted can dream at least… pipe dream that is.

    Early prediction – Ryan vs. Feingold in the final election.

  7. Let me think about it for a day or so before betting… I will say that one compelling argument for Ryan running would be that him doing so would increase the chances of Obama losing in 2012 (Ryan running probably adds a couple points to the Republican nominee in what might be the state that determines the presidency).

  8. Yes, I’d agree with that observation.

    Either way, Wisconsin is pivotal in November 2012. I can’t wait to blog it all. 🙂

  9. Randy in Richmond says:

    I say Ryan runs because the Republican Party will do and give him anything he wants. He could help the party on several levels.

  10. You know what… I might be thinking about this wrong. Maybe the reason that Kohl got out was because he sensed that Ryan had already decided that he would run for Senate, regardless of what Herb did?

  11. I suppose. I figure Kohl bowed out because he’s old and tired and wants to have a few years of fun before he dies.