Open Blog

Here’s your chance to comment on, question, or just talk about a subject of your choosing.


  1. Anonymous Politico says:

    Newt Gingrich has failed my “litmus test.” As a result, his campaign staff bolted and he is now weakened.

  2. Randy in Richmond says:

    As far as I am concerned it will be no loss if Gingrich drops out. He is basically McCain II.

  3. But I liked John McCain. He was the spouse’s first choice and I really thought he was a solid option.

  4. Newt would actually make a better president than McCain (he’s very bright), but he is not marketable like McCain. has a futures market on the Republican candidate. Here are the current odds:

    Romney 29.5%
    Pawlenty 18.7%
    Huntsman 13%
    Perry 11.3%

    No one else is over 6%.

    I think that’s about right… Romney is the clear favorite. Pawlenty could jump right up there if he is able to win Iowa. More likely though is the Iowa goes for someone like Bachmann and ousts TPaw. Huntsman could jump ahead of Mitt if he beats Romney in NH, which is possible, but I think most voters will decide he’s too moderate. Huntsman is very likable and excels at the sort of retail politics NH requires, so he does have a shot. I’m not sure how Perry fits in… if he runs, I suppose he’d try for Iowa… I think his path is to do well in Iowa (even if he doesn’t win) and then make a stand is SC. The thing that hurts him is I think people will eventually figure out that a very conservative Texan is probably not likely to win in the general.

    Here’s my way too early prediction.

    Iowa: 1. Bachmann, 2. TPaw, 3. Perry 4. Romney 5. Cain
    Cain drops out
    NH: 1. Romney, 2. Huntsman, 3. Perry, 4. TPaw 5. Bachmann
    SC: 1. Perry, 2. Romney, 3. Bachmann, 4. Huntsman 5. TPaw
    TPaw drops out
    FL: 1. Romney, 2. Perry, 3. Huntsman, 4. Bachmann
    Huntsman drops out
    Romney wins most states on Super Tuesday. Perry wins a couple southern states, but Bachmann siphons off some of his base elsewhere.
    By the end of February, it is clear that it will be Romney vs. Obama

  5. Woohoo. Ryan. Find one thing about Romney that doesn’t float your boat. You’re a little too enthusiastic to sell me right now.

  6. There’s a couple, actually:

    1) I don’t like that he is pro-ethanol. I understand the logic… if we stop, corn prices will fall. The US exports a lot of corn, so that would make our trade gap even worse… but I still don’t like it.

    2) Romney came out against a fairly innocuous gambling bill in MA, a stance that the libertarian side of me does not really care for.

    3) I worry that Obama could be somewhat successful in painting Romney as “the rich guy who lays people off” and this could hurt Mitt in the election, especially lower income voters. Romney could help offset this by choosing the right running mate (Rubio would be a brilliant choice for Mitt).

    So no, Mitt isn’t perfect. But when you look closely at the other people who are actually running, yes, I do think Romney is head and shoulders above the rest of the group. But that might say as much about the other candidates as it does about Mitt.

  7. Anonymous Politico says:

    I’m beginning to lean towards Roy Moore if Paul Ryan doesn’t get into the race. I confess that I’m an umbrella Republican.

    I’m willing to bet anyone here a steak dinner that Mitt Romney won’t get the nomination in ’12. He spent over $60 million in 2008 and got no traction. I expect a repeat performance in ’12.

  8. Who is Roy Moore?

  9. Anonymous Politico says:

    He’s the Chief Justice of the Alabama Supreme Court that refused to remove the 10 Commandments from the court house despite a federal judge’s order to do so. He was eventually removed from the Alabama Supreme Court. Now he’s running for President.

  10. Anonymous Politico says:

    I just watched channel 4 news. In the age of HDTV, I’m becoming increasingly concerned by Governor Scott Walker’s growing bald spot. Something has to be done.

  11. Anonymous Politico:

    I’ll take your bet, but with a caveat. Given the future market says that Romney is <30% to win, I don't think a straight-up 50-50 bet is quite fair. So here's what I propose. If you anyone other than Romney wins the Repub. nomination, I'll get you a steak dinner at Butler Inn in Pewaukee (their steaks are around $30 and very tasty….. wifey and I were just their for our anniversary). But if Romney wins, I want the $45 12 ounce filet at Eddie Martini's.

    Do we have a deal?

  12. I’ll moderate, so you have to buy my dinner, too. 😉 I have never been to Eddie Martini’s.

  13. Anonymous Politico says:

    Deal. 🙂 But I will need to wear sunglasses and a trenchcoat in order to remain anonymous. Cindy, you can come too.

    BTW, I’m kidding about Roy Moore. I know that cynicism doesn’t translate well over the Internets. I don’t think I’ll support Judge Moore, but I do think he’s a great American for what he did.

  14. I’ve never been to Eddie Martini’s either…. but I’ve heard great things… that’s part of my incentive for taking the deal.

    And yes, I agree that Cindy should definitely come too. 🙂

  15. Anonymous Politico says:

    I’ve had drinks there before. It’s a great place. Now I must return to watching 7o’s hits on YouTube.