I want to thank Wisconsin’s public union members in advance.

The hard work they put into Governor Scott Walker’s recall will bear fruit. It just might be sweeter for some than for others.

Imagine one day documenting that Scott Walker caused the election of Mitt Romney.


  1. I could be wrong, but I don’t think we’ll actually see that. If Romney wins Wisconsin, he probably also won Ohio, Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, Iowa, New Hampshire, and likely some other swing states as well. So I see Wisconsin as the icing on the cake that gets Romney up to 300+ electoral college votes, not the state that decides everything.

    But given the way things have been going around here lately, maybe it is foolish of me to bet against your prediction. Or maybe it will be the Senate where a big R win in Wisconsin pushes the Republicans over the top… that is more plausible, although I’d actually say it would be a disappointment if we didn’t win the Senate seat at this point.

    Oh, and I’m 98% of the way to coming out for Tommy. Sorry Cindy.

  2. Randy in Richmond says:

    Obama has lost North Carolina. That’s a given. Oh, there will be a lovefest when the Convention is held in Charlotte but that will be shortlived.

    Obama will still get 95% of the black vote nationally, but the question is will as many vote in 2012 as did in 2008? Conventional wisdom right now says no.

    We’ll see.

  3. No problem, Ryan. You are allowed to make your own mistakes. 😉

    I think that was the point of the WSJ article, if Wisconsin goes, so go the other swing states.

  4. Polls are still all over the place. It remains to be seen whether Romney’s recent “surge” is real or is just the consolidation of the GOP vote given that he is now all-but-officially the nominee. He’s still a rather lackluster candidate. Even Mike Dukakis was up at one point in 1988.

    Let’s just treat the recall for what it is. It’s important on its own, and will be the second most important political development in June (the first being the SCOTUS decision on Obamacare). Depending on how the recall and the SCOTUS decision go, I might not even care what happens in November.

  5. I could maybe possibly buy the notion that “Walker winning the recall could help Romney win Wisconsin”. But I’m not following the logic of “Walker winning the recall could help Romney win Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado”.

  6. Oh, then in that we will disagree. Because logically if Walker helps Romney win Wisconsin and winning Wisconsin creates the momentum to bring in the other states, then Walker will help to win the swing states.

  7. I think if Walker loses, it would be a bad sign for Romney in the swing states, since it would energize the unions and their GOTV effort. A “clean sweep” in June (Walker winning, the GOP winning the 4 senate races, SCOTUS striking down the whole ACA) might help boost the Tea Party, which could have a small effect on swing states (which may be crucial if it is a close race), but I think a Walker win alone, or even the Walker win coupled with the GOP winning the 4 senate races primarily affects Wisconsin and is likely to have little impact on the national race.