Scott Walker, front-runner

Well this Powerline post certainly left me thinking:

I expect that, with a solid victory in November, Scott Walker will become the effective front-runner for the GOP presidential nomination. By effective front-runner, I mean the most likely nominee (assuming he wants the nomination), not necessarily the Republican who polls the best in early surveys.

Go read the whole thing. It almost makes sense, which has me a bit surprised.

The core of his argument, that Walker’s 16 point lead over Burke from a recent Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert’s poll makes him invincible, might be hard for some to swallow. It’s also a little hard to ignore.

7. If the election for Governor in Wisconsin were held today, for whom would you be more likely to vote:
Republican Scott Walker or Democrat Mary Burke

Scott Walker ……………………………………………………………. 55%
Mary Burke …………………………………………………………….. 40%
Not Sure …………………………………………………………………. 5%

Of Likely Voters (Definitely + Probably Vote):

Scott Walker ……………………………………………………………. 56%
Mary Burke …………………………………………………………….. 40%
Not Sure …………………………………………………………………. 4%

Don’t miss that Governor Scott Walker holds a 59% approval rating there.

I still want a Governor for Wisconsin, but it’s starting to look like Walker’s calculated decision to disappear from state politics has served him well in the polls. Time will tell if it gives him the keys to the kingdom.

Comments

  1. To be honest, I don’t think it will happen. He’s not good looking enough to be President.

  2. If he’s good enough looking for the widow Hendricks, he’s good enough looking for me.

    But seriously, once the national media places a focus on the many racists that he surrounds himself with, does he stand a chance?

  3. Randy in Richmond says:

    Interesting that you in Wisconsin are more than willing to elect a governor that ‘surrounds himself with racists’. Shame on you.

  4. Walker is doing a great job and has completely surpassed my expectations. And maybe he will again. But on a national stage, I think it would essentially be Tim Pawlenty redux. He’d do fine in early debates, but not great. Iowa will choose someone more conservative than him and New Hampshire will choose someone less conservative than him and that will be that.